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#41648 - 23 Jan 07 04:55 Global warming
Piss Salon Offline
Pujangga Besar

Registered: 27 Jun 06
Posts: 4039
Loc: Jakpus
Book your tickets out of Indo now.

Cut and paste:

Global warming will have a far more destructive and earlier impact than previously estimated.

A draft of the most authoritative report yet produced on climate change, the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, shows the frequency of devastating storms will increase dramatically.

Sea levels will rise over the century by about half a metre; snow will disappear from all but the highest mountains; deserts will spread; oceans will become acidic, leading to the destruction of coral reefs and atolls; and deadly heatwaves will become more prevalent.

The impact will be catastrophic, forcing hundreds of millions to flee their homelands, particularly in tropical, low-lying areas, while creating waves of immigrants whose movements will strain the economies of even the most affluent countries.

The really chilling thing about the report is that it is the work of several thousand climate experts with widely differing views on how greenhouse gases will have their effect. Some think they will have a major impact, others a lesser. Each paragraph was therefore argued over and scrutinised intensely. Only points that were considered indisputable survived.


"This is a very conservative document. That's what makes it so scary," said one senior British climate expert.

The report will be released on February 2 in a set of global news conferences, but although the final wording is still being worked on, the draft indicates that scientists now have their clearest idea so far about future climate changes. It points out that:

* Twelve of the past 13 years were the warmest since records began.

* Ocean temperatures have risen at least 3km under the surface.

* Glaciers, snow cover and permafrost have decreased in both hemispheres.

* Sea levels are rising at the rate of almost 2mm a year.

* Cold days, nights and frost have become rarer while hot days, hot nights and heatwaves have become more frequent.

And the cause is clear, say the authors: "It is very likely that [man-made] greenhouse gas increases caused most of the average temperature increases since the mid-20th century."

To date, these changes have caused global temperatures to rise by 0.6C. The most likely outcome of continuing rises in greenhouses gases will be to make the planet a further 3C hotter by 2100, although the report acknowledges that rises of 4.5C to 5C are possible. Melting icecaps, rising sea levels, floods, cyclones and storms will be an inevitable consequence.

Past assessments by the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change have suggested such scenarios are "likely" to occur this century. Its latest report, based on sophisticated computer models and more detailed observations of snow cover loss, sea level rises and the spread of deserts, is far more confident. Now the panel calls changes "extremely likely" and "almost certain".

And in a specific rebuff to sceptics who still argue natural variation in the sun's output is the real cause of climate change, the panel says mankind's industrial emissions have had five times more effect on the climate than any fluctuations in solar radiation. We are the masters of our own destruction, in short.

There is some comfort, however. The panel believes the Gulf Stream will go on bathing Britain with its warm waters for the next 100 years. Some researchers have said it could be disrupted by cold waters pouring off Greenland's melting ice sheets, plunging western Europe into a mini Ice Age.

The report reflects scientists' growing fears that earth is nearing the stage when carbon dioxide rises will bring irreversible change.

"We are seeing vast sections of Antarctic ice disappearing at an alarming rate," said climate expert Chris Rapley from the Antarctic Peninsula last week. "That means we can expect to see sea levels rise at about a metre a century from now on, and that will have devastating consequences."

However, Peter Cox of Exeter University says there is still hope.

"We are like alcoholics who have got as far as admitting there is a problem. It is a start. Now we have got to start drying out, which means reducing our carbon output."
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#41651 - 23 Jan 07 05:02 Re: Global warming [Re: Piss Salon]
Dilli Offline
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Registered: 26 Feb 06
Posts: 8044
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See Prince Charles choose not to fly to the USA to cut down on carbon emissions.

If only he could stop his wife farting, this would be an even greater contribution!
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#41653 - 23 Jan 07 05:17 Re: Global warming [Re: Dilli]
Piss Salon Offline
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Registered: 27 Jun 06
Posts: 4039
Loc: Jakpus
He doesn't have a wife does he?

VOA
Enero 22, 2007, 0:18 EST



Climate experts say new evidence suggests Indonesia's seasonal rains will diminish as global temperatures continue to rise.



That could mean a devastating blow to the country's tropical agriculture and spark more haze-producing wildfires each year.



A new study used samples of coral to track rainfall patterns from more than 6,000 years ago. The study was published a few days ago in the journal Nature.



Study co-author Nerilie Abram says the new data suggest an unexpected link between monsoons and droughts in countries surrounding the Indian Ocean.



"And so the implication is that with monsoon strengthening we expect that parts of Asia and India, where you receive monsoon rainfall, are likely to get wetter. But the knock-on effect is that parts of Indonesia and Australia are likely to get dryer," said Abram.



This year's drought in Indonesia is caused partly by a natural cycle of cooling in the Indian Ocean much like the El Nino phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean.



But droughts or heavy rainfalls generated by that warming cycle will increase if average global temperatures continue to rise. Many scientists think global warming may be caused in part by increasing emissions of gases from burning fuels such as oil and coal. They recommend cutting those emissions to halt the rise in temperatures.



Abram is a paleoclimatologist who works with the British Antarctic Survey at Cambridge, in the United Kingdom. In a phone call from Cambridge, she said recently that the coral study shows droughts also are shifting to a different time of year.



"And that the peak of drought could actually shift so that it falls at the time of year when this area receives its most rainfall," added Abram. "So that sort of change could have quite a critical effect on agriculture in the area, and actually change the way that we need to try and adapt to these events."



Millions of impoverished Indonesians in rural areas depend on subsistence agriculture, which could be harmed by drier weather.



In the past several months, the severe drought was blamed for massive forest fires in Indonesia, which caused thick smog and health problems in neighboring countries.
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#41654 - 23 Jan 07 05:24 Re: Global warming [Re: Dilli]
Polar Bear Offline
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Registered: 23 Nov 05
Posts: 6177
You know Piss, in 1973 everyone said the world would run out of oil within 20 years. Well in 1993 I filled up my Holden and the pumps were still flowing…..

In 1999 the entire IT world ran around like headless chickens and convinced the world that a so called Y2K bug would end civilisation as we know it. A few of us in the industry stood up and said = “BOLLOCKS if it will”. And funnily enough, the world didn’t end.

In both cases “experts” sprang up, writing books and conducting research.

Now the latest is global warming……

I predict it will go the same way as the other doomsday theories, after thousands of experts have milked all of the money out of the idea.

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#41656 - 23 Jan 07 05:25 Re: Global warming [Re: Piss Salon]
Piss Salon Offline
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Registered: 27 Jun 06
Posts: 4039
Loc: Jakpus
Oh, they are married. How nice for them.
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#41806 - 24 Jan 07 09:29 Re: Global warming [Re: Piss Salon]
hetts Offline
Member+

Registered: 16 Jan 07
Posts: 52
Loc: New Zealand
Actually guys, I agree with piss to some extent. We have just had a bloody big iceberg float up from antarctica to Nz. 3600 km it floated! Now it's broken up, after some kiwis jumped about on it and took pics. One nearly drowned when he slid off! But we too have had predictions tht our sea levels will rise 3 mtres by 2030, which will wipe out quite a few of our coastal townships. Seeing as we are ( a couple of) island this is pretty cruicial. We gona get smaller! (that shud keep sum of u Okkas happy. lol!) And by gosh our weather is completely up the shit over here. Has been for the past 9 months or so. Ice and snow in the middle of summer. Sunburn in the day and hail at night. Cropping and orcharding as we know it has gone completely to the pack - thank God for the horticulturists have moved into tunnel-houses!. Droughts and floods are wrecking much of our agriculture. Something is definitely happening. Studied Antartica in Term 3 last year. There is some pretty compelling evidence that it is occuring, including satellite pics of a bloody great hole over us, not you... lucky for you! The climate is far more agreeable on the equator right now. Our position on the globe is probably on the high-risk list, rather than Indo.

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#41828 - 24 Jan 07 22:04 Re: Global warming [Re: hetts]
Dilli Offline
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Registered: 26 Feb 06
Posts: 8044
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There are positive sides to global warming!


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#41831 - 24 Jan 07 22:19 Re: Global warming [Re: Dilli]
Dilli Offline
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Registered: 26 Feb 06
Posts: 8044
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The only thing that would bother me would be the "Poles Melting"


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#41834 - 24 Jan 07 22:24 Re: Global warming [Re: Dilli]
Dilli Offline
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Registered: 26 Feb 06
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And the summers would last longer


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#41892 - 25 Jan 07 04:48 Re: Global warming [Re: Dilli]
Piss Salon Offline
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Registered: 27 Jun 06
Posts: 4039
Loc: Jakpus
When other people's poles melt you laugh. But when your own pole melts, what then? (Even though Ella, MT, Chocco and Jokie et al say it is a rather small example.)
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#41937 - 25 Jan 07 10:06 Re: Global warming [Re: Piss Salon]
hetts Offline
Member+

Registered: 16 Jan 07
Posts: 52
Loc: New Zealand
And your prehensile trunk, Piss?

Funnily enough a major tourist attraction glacial cave collapsed over here this morning and they caught it on camera. Rather spectacular..., but probably not as spectactular as your guys' melting poles!

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#42069 - 26 Jan 07 11:42 Re: Global warming [Re: hetts]
Piss Salon Offline
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Registered: 27 Jun 06
Posts: 4039
Loc: Jakpus
What glacial cave? Where?
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place within us love that truly gives, tenderness that truly unites, self-offering that tells the truth and does not deceive, forgiveness that truly receives, loving physical union that welcomes

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#42091 - 26 Jan 07 20:59 Re: Global warming [Re: Piss Salon]
abie Offline
Member+

Registered: 25 Jan 07
Posts: 33
Loc: batam, indonesia
piss, i think the whole world will be feel like you feel that our world it's not friendly anymore...
what happen with the forests in the world
and u know who make this happen...?
yes! it's all because of the people with devil ambition
am i a good person?thanks..and you too

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#42149 - 27 Jan 07 04:07 Re: Global warming [Re: Piss Salon]
Dilli Offline
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Registered: 26 Feb 06
Posts: 8044
Loc: Nearest Bar
Quoting: Piss Salon
When other people's poles melt you laugh. But when your own pole melts, what then? (Even though Ella, MT, Chocco and Jokie et al say it is a rather small example.)


Nothing wrong with Choco's pole!


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#42904 - 01 Feb 07 06:50 Re: Global warming [Re: Dilli]
hetts Offline
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Registered: 16 Jan 07
Posts: 52
Loc: New Zealand
Heya Piss! It's Fox Glacier, ... that's Fox, not Foxy! ... South Island, New Zealand.

Are you gona perform for the World Charity Concert to slow Global warming... ?
What will your act be... Oh do tell, Pinky!


Edited by hetts (01 Feb 07 06:50)

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#42907 - 01 Feb 07 07:18 Re: Global warming [Re: hetts]
Piss Salon Offline
Pujangga Besar

Registered: 27 Jun 06
Posts: 4039
Loc: Jakpus
My name's peace.

Thought so. (About Fox.)

Yes. World Charity Concert to Slow Global Warming.

Got it all planned.

Going to drive there in my exhaust-belching VW van, light up an ounce of dried weed, pop pills made in the third-world by children who don't wear gloves, fuck a hippy chick without a condom and wash my genitals with non-biodegradable soap in a previously clear mountain stream afterwards.

Up for the hippy job?
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place within us love that truly gives, tenderness that truly unites, self-offering that tells the truth and does not deceive, forgiveness that truly receives, loving physical union that welcomes

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#42910 - 01 Feb 07 07:43 Re: Global warming [Re: Dilli]
Choc_Cow Offline
Member**

Registered: 25 May 06
Posts: 1200
Loc: Di Puncak
Quoting: Dilli


Nothing wrong with Choco's pole!


Dili!!!!! the show was strictly for farm animals!

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#42911 - 01 Feb 07 07:46 Re: Global warming [Re: Choc_Cow]
Choc_Cow Offline
Member**

Registered: 25 May 06
Posts: 1200
Loc: Di Puncak
global warming is one of the reasons why i don't buy a huge mansion with fabulous view of the beach...

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#43103 - 02 Feb 07 07:24 Re: Global warming [Re: Choc_Cow]
hetts Offline
Member+

Registered: 16 Jan 07
Posts: 52
Loc: New Zealand
Oh my goodness... Peace man!

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